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About ChainsawFan

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    Oracle of HQ, the Third of His Name

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  1. The day is coming

    There once was a woman named Sue Who said, as the Bishop withdrew "The Vicar is quicker And thicker and slicker And four inches longer than you!"
  2. Happy New Year to our Jewish Cesspoolers

    My wife gets the next two days off since she works at a Jewish school, plus the whole first week of October for something or other. Pretty sweet gig.
  3. WTF is Wrong With Trump Today?

    I think her campaign put too much faith in the polling aggregators (I think 538 was the only one that wasn't all but promising her a decisive win) and was somehow completely ignorant to the fact that the electoral map was strongly tilted to a republican candidate this time around. I recall that they started running ads in states like Arizona and Texas pretty late in the campaign, which was just a monumentally stupid decision to try to run up the score. It seems like all of the 538 copycat poll aggregators did a really crappy job of recognizing her tenuous lead in the polls, and her campaign put too much stock in them. I remember schooling Harv on Scout on the idea that it was 50 times more likely that Clinton would lose the election while winning the popular vote (10% chance per 538) than the opposite scenario (0.2% chance), and that's exactly what happened. I think the big lesson learned is that people should listen to Nate Silver, which seemed like a no brainer to me. I think his system gave Trump a one in three chance of winning on Election Day, which is far greater than any other polls or aggregators gave him.
  4. Bye Bye Loren Tate

    Solid post, but I feel like you should have gone with "you're" here.
  5. What are you listening to?

    I still have Wisconsin Death Trip and Machine CDs. I have a couple songs from each in my running playlist, helps me stay pumped up when I'm slogging through a run on those humid 90+ degree days, which is every day from May through September...
  6. Never Forget

    That it was bad?
  7. What are you drinking?

    Got a six pack of Crooked Can High Stepper AIPA over the weekend. It's a good, hoppy American style IPA. I prefer Jai Alai, but it's a good truly local option (from Winter Garden, FL, near Orlando). I may have to get some more before I have to hunker down for Irma this weekend.
  8. Game of Thrones: Final Season

    I thought there was a small chance Arya was already using his face, but that would have robbed us of the satisfaction of seeing him die. If they don't use it next season it'll be a huge wasted opportunity.
  9. Coke Zero as Official Soft Drink

    I'll join you on your hill MiniDitka. I love Fresca. I don't drink much liquor any more, but it's actually really good with gin. Haven't tried that in ages, though.
  10. Game of Thrones: Final Season

    I think Littlefinger was a pretty consequential character.
  11. Game of Thrones: Final Season

    My favorite line from NPR's (!) recap of the finale: "It took Jon and Dany just four episodes to Fast Travel from Dragonstone to Bonetown."
  12. Game of Thrones: Final Season

    Not sure how it all wraps up, but here are a couple of my predictions: - Bran is the Night King or is somehow responsible for him but he figures out how to defeat him(self?) - Jaime kills Cersei and fulfills the valonqar prophesy - There's some conflict between Jon and Dany when they find out he's the true heir to the Iron Throne, but they work it out and continue to bone - The good guys defeat the Night King/Viserion, but Dant/Drogon die in the process - Jon/Aegon rules the Seven Kingdom with Sansa as Warden of the North, or maybe he breaks up the Seven Kingdoms and she becomes Queen in the North - Almost everyone dies in the process
  13. Missouri gun laws (lack there of...)

    Oh man, ain't that the truth...
  14. Game of Thrones: Final Season

    I hadn't heard the ice dragon theory before, but when the standoff on the island started, my first thought was that it was a dragon trap. I agree with a lot of the criticisms the show has received lately, but it's still fun as hell. I can live with the fast travel stuff (though the lightspeed raven to Dragonstone really pushed my limits), it's the fact that the major characters seem pretty bulletproof right now that's bugging me the most. I think Tormund and Jorah shouldn't have made it back. I also think Jaime should have eaten it in the loot train episode. That would have messed up a ton of fan theories! Maybe the season finale will deliver something less predictable...
  15. WTF is Wrong With Trump Today?

    Florida has something similar. Property tax increase are capped at 3% a year for your primary residence. It was a constitutional amendment adopted when speculation was driving home prices through the roof in the mid-aughts.